Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Resolved: Team Falcons won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales traded $197K on this market since Oct 13, 60% of their buying on Team Falcons. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 90% of the size there to buy. Team Falcons won, with 60% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$21K and 4 lost −$44K: −$24K between them. Biggest win: Sparse-Handgun, +$13K on Team Falcons. Biggest loss: Well-Documented-Outrigger, −$35K on NIP.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sparse-Handgun
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 74¢ $37K — +$13K
Well-Documented-Outrigger
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck
NIP @ 27¢ $35K — −$35K
Far-Off-Candidate
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $34K —
Understated-Showstopper-Motel
5 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 75¢ $7.1K $9.4K +$2.3K
Darling-Snack
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.6K —
Grand-Access
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.5K —
Acrobatic-Tulip
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.0K —
Rash-Barometer
395 settled bets Can't tell from luck
NIP @ 27¢ $6.9K — −$6.9K
Harmless-Inclusion
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.6K —
Turbulent-Corps-Card
3 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 75¢ $4.8K — +$1.6K
Worn-Tadpole
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 95¢ $4.2K — +$208
Flaky-Integer
301 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 82¢ $3.8K — +$849
Fitting-Quilt-Drawer
7 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 73¢ $2.1K — +$782
Big-Hearted-Loggia
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 75¢ $2.0K — +$667
Worse-Alcove-Umbrella
7 settled bets Too few bets
NIP @ 27¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Salty-Notation-Homeland
1 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 74¢ $2.0K — +$691
Required-Sorbet
16 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Muffled-Advertising
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 92¢ $1.6K — +$139
Bountiful-Semicircle
13 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 74¢ $1.6K — +$546
Grandiose-Iron
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Jubilant-Baggie
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Total-Hyphenation-Barometer
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
General-Secret-Rim
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
All-Peasant-Drug
953 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Ugly-Diabetes
14 settled bets Too few bets
NIP @ 25¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Team Falcons won
    $66K
    60% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $84K sold
  2. NIP lost
    $44K
    40% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. Team Falcons lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $2.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792047640).

More other markets the whales bet on

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About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed