Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D

Resolved: BC.Game Esports won · See it on Polymarket ↗

21 whales traded $102K on this market since Oct 15, 76% of their buying on MIBR. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 24 seconds later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 97% of the size there to buy. BC.Game Esports won, with 24% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$9.0K and 7 lost −$25K: −$16K between them. Biggest win: Sparse-Handgun, +$3.5K on BC.Game Esports. Biggest loss: Runny-Wait-Gynaecology, −$11K on MIBR.

The whales on this market

21 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Creative-Midwife
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $48K —
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MIBR @ 57¢ $11K — −$11K
Noisy-Dearest
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.6K —
Delicious-Attacker
491 settled bets Worse than the odds
MIBR @ 62¢ $4.1K — −$1.5K
Well-Off-Ability
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.1K —
Sparse-Outset
382 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MIBR @ 52¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Playful-Artist
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MIBR @ 57¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Sparse-Handgun
18 settled bets Beat the odds*
BC.Game Esports @ 47¢ $3.1K — +$3.5K
Harmful-Nest
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MIBR @ 57¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Prickly-Pledge-Unblinking
2 settled bets Too few bets
BC.Game Esports @ 45¢ $2.0K — +$2.5K
Puny-Attachment
2 settled bets Too few bets
MIBR @ 34¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Far-Flung-Steppingstone-Foundation
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Monstrous-Fairy
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Wiggly-Onion
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,070 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Sophisticated-Trail-Amazement
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Whimsical-Politics
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Scary-Edible
1,440 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BC.Game Esports @ 39¢ $1.1K — +$1.7K
Canine-Corporation-Bend
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Shy-Ephyra
80 settled bets Beat the odds*
BC.Game Esports @ 45¢ $1.0K — +$1.3K
Variable-Ski
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MIBR @ 57¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. MIBR lost
    $26K
    76% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $2.6K sold
  2. BC.Game Esports won
    $8.5K
    24% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $65K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed