Polymarket market · Sports

Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally

Resolved: Karolina Muchova won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales traded $75K on this market since Oct 14, 68% of their buying on Karolina Muchova. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 81 seconds later would have cost 3.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Karolina Muchova won, with 68% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$20K and 5 lost −$15K: +$4.7K between them. Biggest win: Favorite-Cave-Muscat, +$5.1K on Karolina Muchova. Biggest loss: Rusty-Reminder, −$5.7K on Caty McNally.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Loving-Atheist
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 89¢ $4.8K $5.4K +$588
Quirky-Woodchuck-Overload
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 69¢ $10K — +$4.5K
High-Antling-Tactile
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.0K —
Naughty-Tab
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 52¢ $4.0K $1.7K —
Rusty-Reminder
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Caty McNally @ 69¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Scary-Edible
1,432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 53¢ $5.0K — +$4.4K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,008 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 41¢ $4.4K — +$1.4K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,173 settled bets Beat the odds*
Caty McNally @ 27¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
Favorite-Cave-Muscat
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 44¢ $4.0K — +$5.1K
Horrible-Recording
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 52¢ $3.4K — +$3.1K
Illustrious-Pinecone
188 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karolina Muchova @ 89¢ $1.6K $1.8K +$194
Powerless-Savannah
2,541 settled bets Beat the odds*
Caty McNally @ 38¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Grateful-Chest
250 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Likely-Feedback
22 settled bets Worse than the odds
Caty McNally @ 48¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Relieved-Anime
8 settled bets Too few bets
Karolina Muchova @ 66¢ $1.5K — +$772
Repentant-Outlaw-Hug
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,055 settled bets Worse than the odds
Karolina Muchova @ 91¢ $1.3K — +$125
Inconsequential-Archeology
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Caty McNally @ 55¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Karolina Muchova won
    $38K
    68% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $17K sold
  2. Caty McNally lost
    $17K
    32% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792047640).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Wuhan Tennis Open: Janice Tjen vs Daria Snigur $74K 11 Won: Janice Tjen
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar $84K 24 Won: Rafael Jodar
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula $202K 19 Won: Jelena Ostapenko
Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska $50K 8 Won: Maja Chwalinska
Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo $227K 22 Won: Hanyu Guo
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas $212K 13 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Warriors vs. Lakers $77K 16 Won: Warriors
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee $109K 14 Won: Ashlyn Krueger
About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed