Polymarket market · Sports
Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Resolved: Thiago Seyboth Wild won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $114K on this market since Oct 17, 68% of their buying on Thiago Seyboth Wild. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.8¢ more per share, with 67% of the size there to buy. Thiago Seyboth Wild won, with 68% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$17K and 2 lost −$21K: −$4.1K between them. Biggest win: Lost-Sage-Zootsuit, +$12K on Thiago Seyboth Wild. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$19K on Francisco Comesana.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 78¢ | $42K | — | +$12K |
| Embellished-Lecture
16 settled bets Too few bets |
Francisco Comesana @ 52¢ | $5.0K | $21K | — |
| Glaring-Salt
1,818 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francisco Comesana @ 51¢ | $19K | — | −$19K |
| Vengeful-Interject-Parking
22 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $10K | — |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,000 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 95¢ | $3.8K | — | +$201 |
| Unruly-Rocker
139 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 50¢ | $1.0K | $2.0K | +$998 |
| Courageous-Sunbonnet
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 52¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$105 |
| Muted-Dearest
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 96¢ | $2.0K | — | +$84 |
| Noteworthy-Waffle-Customer
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 37¢ | $1.9K | — | +$3.2K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francisco Comesana @ 60¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Euphoric-Alteration
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 79¢ | $1.5K | — | +$392 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 78¢ | $1.5K | — | +$415 |
Where the whale money went
-
Thiago Seyboth Wild won$54K68% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $13K sold
-
Francisco Comesana lost$26K32% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $21K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims) | $65K | 9 | Won: Steven Koslow | |
| Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-17? | $59K | 9 | Won: No | |
| UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) | $88K | 9 | Won: Mike Malott | |
| Bruins vs. Kings | $61K | 8 | Won: Bruins | |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa | $116K | 3 | Won: Katarzyna Kawa | |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17? | $331K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | $177K | 30 | Won: Tampa Bay Rays | |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | $242K | 13 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?