Polymarket market · Other

Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina

Resolved: Appalachian State won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales traded $81K on this market since Oct 15, 79% of their buying on Coastal Carolina. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Appalachian State won, with 19% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$9.0K and 7 lost −$65K: −$56K between them. Biggest win: Grotesque-Answer, +$5.1K on Appalachian State. Biggest loss: Young-Infarction-Conservative, −$27K on Coastal Carolina.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Young-Infarction-Conservative
3 settled bets Too few bets
Coastal Carolina @ 48¢ $27K — −$27K
Shocking-Bathroom
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Coastal Carolina @ 52¢ $24K — −$24K
Grotesque-Answer
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Appalachian State @ 53¢ $5.8K — +$5.1K
Normal-High-Soy
1 settled bets Too few bets
Coastal Carolina @ 49¢ $5.1K — −$5.1K
Dental-Ammunition
2 settled bets Too few bets
Appalachian State @ 99.87¢ $3.7K — +$5
Corrupt-Poisoning
329 settled bets Beat the odds*
Coastal Carolina @ 73¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Apprehensive-Chicken-East
1 settled bets Too few bets
Appalachian State @ 53¢ $3.5K — +$3.1K
Fake-Bitter
1,163 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Coastal Carolina @ 49¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Bitter-Margin
4 settled bets Too few bets
Appalachian State @ 78¢ $2.7K — +$751
Fuzzy-Musician-Godfather
1 settled bets Too few bets
Coastal Carolina @ 48¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Cheap-Lark-Outfit
1 settled bets Too few bets
Coastal Carolina @ 48¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Coastal Carolina lost
    $64K
    79% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Appalachian State won
    $16K
    19% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. Coastal Carolina lost
    $1.6K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792220425).

More other markets the whales bet on

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About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed