Polymarket market · Other
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $191K on this market since Oct 14, 84% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 84% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$21K and 2 lost −$8.8K: +$12K between them. Biggest win: New-Sickness, +$17K on Yes. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$7.7K on No.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private-Emergence
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $86K | — |
| Embellished-Lecture
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 52¢ | $10K | $46K | — |
| New-Sickness
188 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $25K | — | +$17K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 38¢ | $9.4K | — | −$7.7K |
| Memorable-Maelstrom
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $3.0K | — | +$1.8K |
| 0x9377…2f06
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Frail-Formula
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 71¢ | $2.5K | — | +$1.0K |
| Costly-Compass-Monitor
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Marvelous-Involvement-Stepgrandfather
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 61¢ | $1.2K | — | +$775 |
| Miniature-Ad
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 33¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Organic-Networking
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $1.1K | — | +$23 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$45K84% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $138K sold
-
No lost$8.8K17% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State vs. Indiana | $352K | 25 | Won: Ohio State | |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $431K | 40 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | $98K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries | $173K | 11 | Won: Golden State Valkyries | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $133K | 41 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $66K | 18 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: O/U 49.5 | $72K | 4 | Won: Under | |
| Florida vs. Texas | $103K | 7 | Won: Florida |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?