Polymarket market · Sports

Warriors vs. Lakers

Resolved: Warriors won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $77K on this market since Oct 13, 79% of their buying on Lakers. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 87% of the size there to buy. Warriors won, with 16% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$6.1K and 10 lost −$51K: −$45K between them. Biggest win: Euphoric-Alteration, +$4.2K on Warriors. Biggest loss: French-Battalion-Spasm, −$27K on Lakers.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
French-Battalion-Spasm
6 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 44¢ $27K — −$27K
Lost-Hurdler
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K —
Embellished-Lecture
4 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 59¢ $9.7K — −$9.7K
Frayed-Mud
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.5K —
Drafty-Description
3 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 81¢ $4.0K — +$919
Sardonic-Hub
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 55¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Euphoric-Alteration
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 41¢ $2.9K — +$4.2K
Creamy-Salon
6 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 78¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Grandiose-Iron
7 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 91¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
All-Peasant-Drug
925 settled bets Worse than the odds
Lakers @ 85¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,025 settled bets Worse than the odds
Lakers @ 47¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Expensive-Stealth
3 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 99¢ $1.8K — +$19
These-Collectivisation
5 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 44¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Masculine-Tower-Odometer
9 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 44¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Discrete-Waffle-Exhibition
2 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 79¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Optimistic-Version
4 settled bets Too few bets
Warriors @ 51¢ $1.0K — +$961

Where the whale money went

  1. Lakers lost
    $48K
    79% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  2. Warriors won
    $9.7K
    16% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $16K sold
  3. Lakers lost
    $2.9K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791961222).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? $136K 7 Open
Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska $50K 8 Won: Maja Chwalinska
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $81K 10 Won: Tampa Bay Rays
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar $84K 24 Open
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? $92K 12 Won: Yes
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) $64K 5 Won: FC Barcelona
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? $51K 13 Won: No
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? $88K 24 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed