Polymarket market · Sports
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 13, 67% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 76 seconds later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 33% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$47K and 5 lost −$30K: +$18K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Revenue, +$27K on No. Biggest loss: Lone-Stench, −$15K on Yes.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lone-Stench
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Sharp-Law
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 86¢ | $5.5K | — | −$5.5K |
| Far-Off-Candidate
152 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 86¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 13¢ | $4.0K | — | +$27K |
| Substantial-Service
802 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 39¢ | $3.8K | — | +$6.0K |
| Willing-Proposition
82 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 30¢ | $3.5K | — | +$8.0K |
| Stupendous-Shirtdress-Resolution
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Superior-Goodie
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 27¢ | $2.1K | — | +$5.8K |
| Ready-Progression
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| 0x1372…4ce0
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 88¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| International-Deal
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 69¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Funny-Issue-Shelf
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| 0x755a…82c4
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 68¢ | $1.0K | — | +$475 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$30K67% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.8K sold
-
No won$15K33% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791961222).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $64K | 5 | Won: FC Barcelona | |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? | $92K | 12 | Won: Yes | |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | $88K | 24 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | $59K | 3 | Won: Yes | |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | $81K | 10 | Won: Tampa Bay Rays | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $53K | 13 | Won: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | $77K | 16 | Won: Warriors | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | $136K | 7 | Open |