Polymarket market · Sports
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $120K on this market since Oct 14, 82% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 82% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$96K and 3 lost −$22K: +$74K between them. Biggest win: 0x361b…74fe, +$96K on Over. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$14K on Under.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x361b…74fe
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 51¢ | $98K | — | +$96K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,173 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 51¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Any-Hermit
18 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Under @ 49¢ | $5.8K | — | −$5.8K |
| High-Antling-Tactile
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 54¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Over won$98K82% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Under lost$22K18% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792047640).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | $615K | 37 | Won: No | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | $166K | 34 | Won: Yes | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | $59K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) | $112K | 5 | Won: Aston Villa FC | |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | $458K | 10 | Won: Liverpool FC | |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? | $63K | 18 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | $989K | 38 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? | $81K | 17 | Won: No |