Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Resolved: Team Falcons won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales traded $89K on this market since Oct 14, 65% of their buying on Team Falcons. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 85% of the size there to buy. Team Falcons won, with 65% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$12K and 4 lost −$25K: −$13K between them. Biggest win: Guilty-Aide, +$3.7K on Team Falcons. Biggest loss: Discrete-Century, −$16K on NIP.

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Discrete-Century
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck
NIP @ 53¢ $16K — −$16K
Wrathful-Row
173 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 82¢ $2.9K $7.3K —
Insistent-Workhorse
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 86¢ $5.7K $4.2K —
Guilty-Aide
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 65¢ $6.7K — +$3.7K
Flaky-Integer
310 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 76¢ $6.5K — +$2.0K
Total-Cover-Author
212 settled bets Worse than the odds
NIP @ 38¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Scary-Pearl
274 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 91¢ $4.5K — +$452
Charming-Instrumentalist
200 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 84¢ $1.7K $1.6K —
Entire-Phase
9 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 71¢ $3.1K — +$1.2K
Acceptable-Fishbone
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 63¢ $2.5K — +$1.5K
Unwritten-Score
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 79¢ $2.3K — +$602
Muffled-Advertising
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 88¢ $2.0K — +$276
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,070 settled bets Worse than the odds
Team Falcons @ 88¢ $1.9K — +$265
Faint-Bush
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Impressive-Dresser
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 93¢ $1.8K — +$128
Earnest-Comma
9 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 58¢ $1.8K — +$1.3K
Worse-Alcove-Umbrella
7 settled bets Too few bets
NIP @ 38¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Darling-Bread
73 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Finished-Cholesterol
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 63¢ $1.3K — +$750
Joint-Achievement-Emerald
4 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 88¢ $1.1K — +$149
Tinted-Southeast
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Illustrious-Pinecone
192 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Cuddly-Kitsch-Mattress
5 settled bets Too few bets
NIP @ 44¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Team Falcons won
    $46K
    65% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $15K sold
  2. NIP lost
    $25K
    35% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed