Polymarket market · Sports

Chargers vs. Chiefs

Resolved: Chiefs won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $74K on this market since Oct 17, 92% of their buying on Chiefs. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Chiefs won, with 92% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$11K and 2 lost −$5.0K: +$6.1K between them. Biggest win: Immense-Registry-Wasabi, +$5.4K on Chiefs. Biggest loss: Loathsome-Decade, −$3.7K on Chargers.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Immense-Registry-Wasabi
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 84¢ $28K — +$5.4K
Cautious-Quince
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 88¢ $10K — +$1.4K
Quarterly-Stepbrother-Timeline
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $8.4K —
Thorny-Movie
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 84¢ $5.6K — +$1.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 78¢ $5.5K — +$1.5K
Loathsome-Decade
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chargers @ 22¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Gleeful-Pricing
6 settled bets Too few bets
Chiefs @ 78¢ $2.5K — +$705
Bruised-Dragonfruit
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.4K —
Coarse-Plenty
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Spiffy-Revenue
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 85¢ $1.9K — +$343
0x9b11…5375
196 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 81¢ $1.4K — +$319
Grown-Difference-Burnout
220 settled bets Beat the odds*
Chargers @ 12¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Scornful-West
192 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 78¢ $1.2K — +$330

Where the whale money went

  1. Chiefs won
    $56K
    92% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $13K sold
  2. Chargers lost
    $5.0K
    8% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792393220).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Bills (-4.5) $222K 4 Won: Raiders
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians $174K 14 Won: Tampa Bay Rays
Spread: Bills (-5.5) $67K 4 Won: Raiders
Bills vs. Raiders $398K 24 Won: Bills
Cardinals vs. Rams $238K 26 Won: Cardinals
Steelers vs. Buccaneers $333K 13 Won: Steelers
Saints vs. Giants $171K 8 Won: Saints
Panthers vs. Eagles $60K 13 Won: Panthers
About this data · run 1792393220, computed 2026-10-19 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792393220 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed