Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs
Resolved: NIP won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $54K on this market since Oct 15, 75% of their buying on Liquid. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.0¢ more per share, with 72% of the size there to buy. NIP won, with 26% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$17K and 9 lost −$38K: −$20K between them. Biggest win: Well-Off-Ability, +$12K on NIP. Biggest loss: Creative-Midwife, −$19K on Liquid.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creative-Midwife
180 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 51¢ | $19K | — | −$19K |
| Delicious-Attacker
505 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Liquid @ 52¢ | $8.6K | — | −$6.3K |
| Well-Off-Ability
2 settled bets Too few bets |
NIP @ 31¢ | $5.3K | — | +$12K |
| Itchy-Caterpillar
160 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 48¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Rash-Barometer
408 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
NIP @ 56¢ | $2.6K | — | +$2.0K |
| Euphoric-Bloom-Blizzard
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 46¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Scary-Edible
1,454 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
NIP @ 50¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.4K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,096 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Liquid @ 70¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Impure-Roundabout
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 93¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Likely-Feedback
34 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Liquid @ 56¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Political-Endothelium
140 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
NIP @ 55¢ | $1.2K | — | +$984 |
| Proud-Continuity-Collateral
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Liquid @ 57¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Popular-Dhow
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Liquid @ 82¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Unruly-Rocker
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
NIP @ 50¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Liquid lost$38K75% of whale buying · 9 buyers
-
NIP won$13K26% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $2.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792220425).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $442K | 51 | Open | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $53K | 16 | Open | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $537K | 60 | Open | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $58K | 8 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | $51K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $82K | 30 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $361K | 54 | Open | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $164K | 30 | Open |