Polymarket market · Sports
Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro
Resolved: Francesco Passaro won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $80K on this market since Oct 16, 63% of their buying on Marco Trungelliti. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ less per share, with 92% of the size there to buy. Francesco Passaro won, with 37% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$27K and 7 lost −$26K: +$974 between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$7.2K on Francesco Passaro. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$13K on Marco Trungelliti.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meager-Flair-Wait
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Marco Trungelliti @ 53¢ | $9.0K | $13K | +$4.0K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,213 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Marco Trungelliti @ 60¢ | $16K | — | −$13K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,128 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francesco Passaro @ 46¢ | $7.2K | — | +$5.4K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,748 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francesco Passaro @ 49¢ | $7.0K | — | +$7.2K |
| Ill-Notice
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Marco Trungelliti @ 90¢ | $5.2K | — | −$5.2K |
| Superior-Goodie
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francesco Passaro @ 42¢ | $4.7K | — | +$6.5K |
| Tight-Hemisphere
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,597 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Marco Trungelliti @ 77¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Sleepy-Love-Optimisation
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Marco Trungelliti @ 91¢ | $1.8K | $1.0K | −$783 |
| Turbulent-Flood-Stucco
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Francesco Passaro @ 48¢ | $2.1K | — | +$2.3K |
| Quixotic-Brow
164 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Marco Trungelliti @ 42¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Slow-Escape
352 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Francesco Passaro @ 46¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.6K |
| Drab-Mom
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Marco Trungelliti @ 53¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Lanky-Nudge
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Vengeful-Interject-Parking
20 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Marco Trungelliti @ 53¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Marco Trungelliti lost$39K63% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $17K sold
-
Francesco Passaro won$23K37% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792220425).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek | $80K | 15 | Won: Iga Swiatek | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | $243K | 28 | Won: Daniil Medvedev | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari | $174K | 33 | Won: Maja Chwalinska | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud | $153K | 37 | Won: Rafael Jodar | |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | $66K | 13 | Won: Celtics | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal | $327K | 44 | Won: Sonay Kartal | |
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki | $55K | 10 | Won: Shintaro Mochizuki | |
| Jazz vs. Suns | $75K | 8 | Won: Jazz |