Polymarket market · Sports

Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal

Resolved: Sonay Kartal won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $52K on this market since Oct 14, 64% of their buying on Jasmine Paolini. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Sonay Kartal won, with 37% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$13K and 5 lost −$30K: −$18K between them. Biggest win: Bite-Sized-Strawberry, +$5.3K on Sonay Kartal. Biggest loss: New-Workhorse, −$23K on Jasmine Paolini.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
New-Workhorse
4 settled bets Too few bets
Jasmine Paolini @ 51¢ $23K — −$23K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sonay Kartal @ 99.37¢ $4.8K — +$31
Bite-Sized-Strawberry
5 settled bets Too few bets
Sonay Kartal @ 47¢ $4.7K — +$5.3K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,190 settled bets Beat the odds*
Sonay Kartal @ 48¢ $4.0K — +$4.4K
Ill-Notice
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Darling-Afterthought-Gambling
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 53¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Metallic-Use
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 55¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Powerless-Savannah
2,573 settled bets Beat the odds*
Sonay Kartal @ 73¢ $1.6K — +$601
Adolescent-Apse
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 44¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Teeming-Ritual
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 54¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Naughty-Tab
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sonay Kartal @ 41¢ $1.1K — +$1.6K
Testy-Comma
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Cuddly-Misfit-Prayer
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sonay Kartal @ 60¢ $1.0K — +$667

Where the whale money went

  1. Jasmine Paolini lost
    $30K
    64% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Sonay Kartal won
    $17K
    37% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $4.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenko $67K 12 Won: Jelena Ostapenko
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari $51K 12 Won: Maria Sakkari
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska $72K 15 Won: Maja Chwalinska
Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo $65K 12 Won: Elina Svitolina
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider $96K 15 Won: Diana Shnaider
Stars vs. Avalanche $79K 10 Won: Stars
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $519K 31 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna $166K 6 Won: Juan Manuel La Serna
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed