Polymarket market · Other
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
26 whales traded $161K on this market since Oct 17, 68% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ less per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 68% of the whale buying on it. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 16 made +$81K and 4 lost −$37K: +$44K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$38K on Yes. Biggest loss: Stylish-Warrant, −$25K on No.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 26| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparse-Handgun
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $27K | — | +$22K |
| Stylish-Warrant
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 43¢ | $25K | — | −$25K |
| Previous-Jaguar
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $3.1K | $14K | — |
| Substantial-Service
863 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 25¢ | $13K | — | +$38K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 61¢ | $12K | — | −$6.2K |
| 0x45c0…c845
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $8.3K | — |
| Stupendous-Shirtdress-Resolution
22 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 58¢ | $2.5K | $4.3K | +$1.8K |
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 58¢ | $2.0K | $3.3K | — |
| Weepy-Eve
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $1.8K | $3.0K | +$1.2K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 41¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| 0x0f34…7684
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 60¢ | $3.9K | — | +$2.6K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
221 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $3.8K | — | +$2.6K |
| Flickering-Portfolio-Will
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.7K | — |
| Deserted-Duration
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $3.0K | — | +$1.9K |
| Naive-Motel
20 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Bustling-Safe
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 95¢ | $2.6K | — | +$136 |
| Flippant-Optimal-Science
40 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,227 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 58¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.5K |
| Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 52¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.9K |
| Imaginative-River
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $2.0K | — | +$105 |
| Troubled-Formal-Dynamics
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 57¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.5K |
| Foolish-Complexity-Columnist
37 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 42¢ | $1.9K | — | +$2.7K |
| Joyful-Ellipse
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $1.8K | — | +$128 |
| Flippant-Section
64 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 44¢ | $1.6K | — | +$2.0K |
| Swift-Census
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 43¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$81K68% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $42K sold
-
No lost$37K31% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
No lost$1.4K1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $539K | 61 | Open | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17? | $145K | 19 | Won: No | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $707K | 76 | Open | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | $234K | 47 | Open | |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 12 | Won: No | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $74K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 9 | Won: No | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $75K | 8 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?