Polymarket market · Sports

Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li

Resolved: Ann Li won · See it on Polymarket ↗

31 whales traded $111K on this market since Oct 14, 73% of their buying on Aryna Sabalenka. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 5.7¢ more per share, with 77% of the size there to buy. Ann Li won, with 26% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$18K and 10 lost −$37K: −$18K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$14K on Aryna Sabalenka. Biggest loss: Sparse-Outset, −$15K on Aryna Sabalenka.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 31
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sparse-Outset
367 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 59¢ $15K — −$15K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,828 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 98¢ $11K — −$11K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,008 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 68¢ $9.6K — +$14K
Pointless-Illustration
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.4K —
Admired-Doubter
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 15¢ $1.1K $6.2K —
Acceptable-Fishbone
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.6K —
Spotless-Girlfriend
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 83¢ $2.9K $2.9K −$35
Welcome-Concept
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.7K —
Eager-Dealer
3 settled bets Too few bets
Ann Li @ 86¢ $1.4K $2.3K —
Monstrous-Dew
395 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Sharp-Folk
9 settled bets Too few bets
Ann Li @ 99.87¢ $3.0K — +$4
Likely-Feedback
22 settled bets Worse than the odds
Aryna Sabalenka @ 50¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Stormy-Influence
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.6K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,173 settled bets Beat the odds*
Ann Li @ 88¢ $2.6K — −$1.1K
Lanky-Nudge
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.6K —
Smoggy-Veterinarian
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Wrathful-Row
168 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ann Li @ 89¢ $2.0K — +$255
Front-Gate
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ann Li @ 87¢ $2.0K — +$306
Hollow-Filing
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 49¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
All-Peasant-Drug
953 settled bets Worse than the odds
Ann Li @ 87¢ $1.9K — +$292
Hurtful-Exercise
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Silky-Subroutine
236 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 41¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Glaring-Salt
1,709 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ann Li @ 51¢ $1.3K — +$1.3K
Trusty-Sidestream
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Reliable-Giggle
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ann Li @ 41¢ $1.2K — +$1.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. Aryna Sabalenka lost
    $48K
    73% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $13K sold
  2. Ann Li won
    $17K
    26% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $32K sold
  3. Aryna Sabalenka lost
    $1.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792047640).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Lisbon: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela $167K 4 Won: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee $109K 14 Won: Ashlyn Krueger
Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez $52K 12 Won: Leylah Fernandez
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas $212K 13 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo $227K 22 Won: Hanyu Guo
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula $202K 19 Won: Jelena Ostapenko
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) $112K 5 Won: Aston Villa FC
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 $120K 4 Won: Over
About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed