Polymarket market · Other
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $58K on this market since Oct 18, 83% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 105 seconds later would have cost 3.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 83% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$8.2K and 3 lost −$6.8K: +$1.4K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$5.8K on Yes. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$2.7K on No.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
873 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 75¢ | $17K | — | +$5.8K |
| Capital-Melody-Meatball
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $10K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 97¢ | $10K | — | −$2.1K |
| Loving-Neuropathologist-Tabby
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $3.0K | — | +$374 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,183 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 79¢ | $2.9K | — | +$783 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 21¢ | $2.7K | — | −$2.7K |
| Lovely-Orchard-Stool
110 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 11¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Scarce-Acquaintance
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Rusty-Eagle
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 60¢ | $1.5K | — | +$998 |
| Famous-Perception-Duplexer
14 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Pink-Tulip-Tulip
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Ultimate-Vendor
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Smart-Fate
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Nippy-Forearm
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 79¢ | $1.0K | — | +$266 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$34K83% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $17K sold
-
No lost$7.0K17% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | $54K | 3 | Won: No | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $80K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | $75K | 16 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $649K | 78 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $155K | 36 | Won: FURIA | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | $51K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $201K | 62 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $271K | 44 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?