Polymarket market · Other

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $50K on this market since Oct 6, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Sardonic-Lentil
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $18K —
Dental-Liquid
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 96¢ $14K —
Zesty-Disappointment
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $4.9K —
Smooth-Evolution
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 93¢ $3.7K —
Personal-Bake
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.3K
Grounded-Depression
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K
Fine-Reader
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K
Vengeful-Netsuke
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 96¢ $1.4K —
Scented-Eyelids
16 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 96¢ $1.4K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $43K
    100% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $7.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 6 to Oct 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed