Polymarket market · Sports

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-14?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales traded $66K on this market since Oct 14, 51% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 7 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 51% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$37K and 2 lost −$29K: +$7.5K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$14K on No. Biggest loss: Realistic-Chive-Tenet, −$25K on Yes.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Realistic-Chive-Tenet
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 53¢ $25K — −$25K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 45¢ $16K — +$14K
Edible-Gum
157 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 45¢ $8.0K — +$9.6K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,190 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 49¢ $7.4K — +$7.8K
Overlooked-Wetsuit
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 56¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Fake-Bitter
1,152 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 46¢ $2.7K — +$3.2K
Kosher-Refuse
342 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $1.2K — +$1.1K
Spiffy-Revenue
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $1.1K — +$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $34K
    51% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $32K
    49% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-14? $72K 4 Won: Yes
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-14? $50K 5 Won: No
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-14? $108K 6 Won: Yes
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $519K 31 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
Stars vs. Avalanche $79K 10 Won: Stars
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? $615K 37 Won: No
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? $166K 34 Won: Yes
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? $4.94M 70 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed