Polymarket market · Other
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $72K on this market since Oct 17, 76% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.7¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 76% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$5.2K and 2 lost −$15K: −$9.8K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$1.4K on Yes. Biggest loss: Stylish-Warrant, −$10K on No.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trim-Winner-Amusement
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99¢ | $10K | — | +$104 |
| Stylish-Warrant
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 62¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| International-Deal
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $7.3K | — | +$186 |
| Substantial-Service
863 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 79¢ | $5.2K | — | +$1.4K |
| Blind-Highway
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 62¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 79¢ | $5.0K | — | +$1.3K |
| Close-Wording
15 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $5.0K | — | +$374 |
| Frank-Straw
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99¢ | $4.4K | — | +$45 |
| Yawning-Chicken
271 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 91¢ | $4.2K | — | +$413 |
| Careful-Noir-Equinox
161 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 91¢ | $2.2K | — | +$215 |
| Authorized-Mover
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Miserable-Poison
1,161 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 75¢ | $1.7K | — | +$582 |
| Drab-Elk
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Fatherly-Cobweb
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Passionate-Minorleague
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Showy-Downgrade
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 64¢ | $1.1K | — | +$609 |
| Quick-Witted-Touch-Die
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Nocturnal-Sunlamp
79 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$46K76% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $11K sold
-
No lost$15K25% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $104K | 22 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | $153K | 10 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $107K | 19 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $514K | 46 | Open | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $55K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | $52K | 10 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? | $83K | 9 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?