Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)

Resolved: Aston Villa FC won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $112K on this market since Oct 14, 98% of their buying on Aston Villa FC. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 50 seconds later would have cost 2.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Aston Villa FC won, with 98% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$9.6K and 1 lost −$1.8K: +$7.8K between them. Biggest win: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, +$8.0K on Aston Villa FC. Biggest loss: Perky-Porch, −$1.8K on Fenerbahçe SK.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,886 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aston Villa FC @ 92¢ $91K — +$8.0K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aston Villa FC @ 92¢ $15K — +$1.3K
Miserable-Poison
1,114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aston Villa FC @ 92¢ $2.4K — +$212
Perky-Porch
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Fenerbahçe SK @ 9¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Silver-Comic-Alcohol
5 settled bets Too few bets
Aston Villa FC @ 92¢ $1.4K — +$120

Where the whale money went

  1. Aston Villa FC won
    $111K
    98% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Fenerbahçe SK lost
    $1.8K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 $120K 4 Won: Over
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) $458K 10 Won: Liverpool FC
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? $63K 18 Won: Yes
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? $989K 38 Won: Yes
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? $81K 17 Won: No
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 $76K 7 Won: Under
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 $59K 3 Won: Over
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? $86K 10 Won: No
About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed