Polymarket market · Sports
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
34 whales traded $166K on this market since Oct 12, 56% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 2.1¢ more per share, with 91% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 56% of the whale buying on it. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$24K and 6 lost −$57K: −$33K between them. Biggest win: Unfinished-Reason, +$5.5K on Yes. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$46K on No.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 34| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,008 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 69¢ | $46K | — | −$46K |
| Well-Worn-Framework-Inlay
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 72¢ | $4.9K | $12K | — |
| Unfinished-Reason
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 70¢ | $13K | — | +$5.5K |
| Pastel-Method
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 72¢ | $10K | — | +$3.9K |
| Whole-Leading
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 83¢ | $10K | — | +$2.0K |
| Front-Gate
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 97¢ | $8.0K | — | +$208 |
| Flippant-Section
58 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 70¢ | $5.0K | — | +$2.2K |
| Black-And-White-Summit
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99¢ | $4.0K | — | +$41 |
| Other-Laboratory
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.0K | — |
| Quirky-Woodchuck-Overload
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99¢ | $3.8K | — | +$39 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,055 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 70¢ | $2.0K | $1.7K | +$855 |
| Short-Term-Aspic
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 97¢ | $3.0K | — | +$79 |
| Straight-Gift
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99¢ | $3.0K | — | +$30 |
| Angelic-Closure
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Misguided-Sock
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 72¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,828 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 10¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Tender-Osmosis-Stepsister
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Concrete-Good-Absence
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Deserted-Mess
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 28¢ | $2.0K | — | +$5.1K |
| Happy-Wife
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Perfect-Purchase
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 96¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Flippant-Optimal-Science
32 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Joyful-Ellipse
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Honest-Pack
25 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Relieved-Anime
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.5K | — | +$654 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$72K56% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $34K sold
-
No lost$55K43% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.2K sold
-
Yes lost$1.9K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 12 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792047640).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | $615K | 37 | Won: No | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | $59K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | $120K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | $4.94M | 70 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | $157K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | $89K | 19 | Won: No | |
| Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) | $59K | 3 | Won: Real Madrid CF | |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | $73K | 14 | Won: Yes |