Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

20 whales traded $82K on this market since Oct 11, 75% of their buying on Tommy Paul. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 110 seconds later would have cost 3.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
SELL $12K
sold Tommy Paul @ 98¢ → won
Wrathful-Row · 150 settled bets · −$27K Can't tell from luck
BUY $5.9K
bought Tommy Paul @ 78¢ → won (+$1.7K)
Superficial-Greenhouse · no settled bets on record yet
BUY $12K
bought Tommy Paul @ 51¢ → won (+$11K)
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf · 3,639 settled bets · −$243K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

20 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,639 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ $14K —
Wrathful-Row
150 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 92¢ $2.0K $12K
Quixotic-Brow
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 41¢ $6.2K —
0x8c11…cfaf
no settled record
Tommy Paul @ 78¢ $5.9K —
Tinted-Text
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ $4.6K —
Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ $4.6K —
Admired-Doubter
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 52¢ $3.5K —
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 58¢ $3.4K —
Villainous-Matrix
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.3K
Shameless-Fifth-Ridge
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 56¢ $3.2K —
Spotless-Girlfriend
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 74¢ $2.9K —
Exalted-Evocation
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 57¢ $2.5K —
Naughty-Tab
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ $2.2K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,488 settled bets Beat the odds*
Valentin Vacherot @ 44¢ $2.1K —
Weighty-Alluvium
2 settled bets Too few bets
Valentin Vacherot @ 40¢ $2.0K —
Secret-Evaluator
105 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tommy Paul @ 61¢ $1.8K —
0xe98c…8792
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 61¢ $1.8K —
Welcome-Revenue
215 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tommy Paul @ 61¢ $1.5K —
Gifted-Language-Morbid
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K
0x4d4d…b801
no settled record
Tommy Paul @ 60¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Tommy Paul
    $49K
    75% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $17K sold
  2. Valentin Vacherot
    $16K
    25% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11 to Oct 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Catania: Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone $87K 4 Open
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina $55K 7 Open
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek $174K 9 Open
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez $69K 13 Won: Leylah Fernandez
Ravens vs. Falcons $1.55M 47 Won: Ravens
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 $90K 8 Won: Over
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers $277K 37 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
Magic vs. Cavaliers $104K 6 Won: Cavaliers
About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed