Polymarket market · Sports

Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

3 whales traded $59K on this market since Oct 14, 82% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 82% of the whale buying on it. Of the 2 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$18K and 1 lost −$10K: +$7.7K between them. Biggest win: Sardonic-Hub, +$18K on Over. Biggest loss: Any-Hermit, −$10K on Under.

The whales on this market

3 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sardonic-Hub
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 72¢ $47K — +$18K
Any-Hermit
18 settled bets Worse than the odds
Under @ 29¢ $10K — −$10K
Excited-Bond
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Over won
    $47K
    82% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.4K sold
  2. Under lost
    $10K
    18% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792047640).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? $615K 37 Won: No
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? $166K 34 Won: Yes
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 $120K 4 Won: Over
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? $86K 10 Won: No
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 $76K 7 Won: Under
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? $81K 17 Won: No
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? $989K 38 Won: Yes
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? $63K 18 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed