Polymarket market · Sports
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
28 whales traded $161K on this market since Oct 16, 55% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 45% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$52K and 7 lost −$44K: +$8.0K between them. Biggest win: Homely-Gosling, +$31K on Yes. Biggest loss: Nocturnal-Fortress-Apartment, −$11K on No.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 28| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 72¢ | $27K | — | −$710 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 40¢ | $21K | — | −$9.1K |
| Homely-Gosling
13 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 38¢ | $19K | — | +$31K |
| Nocturnal-Fortress-Apartment
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 59¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 61¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Sticky-Pepper
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.7K | — |
| Superior-Goodie
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 59¢ | $7.5K | — | −$7.5K |
| Made-Up-Remnant
54 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 41¢ | $2.0K | $4.9K | +$2.9K |
| Hollow-Hectare-Hill
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 38¢ | $1.3K | $5.1K | — |
| Probable-Hypothesis
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 66¢ | $2.3K | $3.7K | — |
| Prestigious-Precedence
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 65¢ | $4.0K | $1.8K | — |
| Impassioned-Praise-Severity
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Lovely-Orchard-Stool
103 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 59¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Scary-Edible
1,482 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 41¢ | $2.1K | — | +$3.1K |
| Sorrowful-Outrage
27 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Flippant-Optimal-Science
40 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Pointed-Regionalism
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 36¢ | $2.0K | — | +$3.6K |
| Mellow-Cube-Maternity
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 36¢ | $1.9K | — | +$3.3K |
| Careful-Noir-Equinox
161 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 53¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,000 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Glaring-Salt
1,818 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 41¢ | $1.6K | — | +$2.3K |
| Gullible-Termination-Coconut
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Tense-Hometown
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 38¢ | $1.3K | — | +$2.1K |
| Functional-Brownie
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 36¢ | $1.3K | — | +$2.2K |
| Ruddy-Blog
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.2K | — | +$151 |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$68K55% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $3.7K sold
-
Yes won$57K45% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $32K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 | $70K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | $489K | 57 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17? | $255K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 | $55K | 9 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | $74K | 6 | Won: Ipswich Town FC | |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska | $343K | 42 | Won: Maja Chwalinska | |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | $242K | 13 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | $234K | 43 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?