Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
Resolved: Aurora Gaming won · See it on Polymarket ↗
21 whales traded $105K on this market since Oct 17, 73% of their buying on Team Falcons. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 117 seconds later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Aurora Gaming won, with 24% of the whale buying on it. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$26K and 14 lost −$76K: −$50K between them. Biggest win: Taut-Semicolon, +$12K on Aurora Gaming. Biggest loss: Quixotic-Brow, −$27K on Team Falcons.
The whales on this market
21 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quixotic-Brow
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 58¢ | $27K | — | −$27K |
| Dizzy-Coliseum
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 57¢ | $17K | $1.3K | −$16K |
| Misty-Request
207 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 57¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Taut-Semicolon
201 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 45¢ | $10K | — | +$12K |
| Watchful-Headache
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Aurora Gaming @ 63¢ | $5.8K | — | +$3.3K |
| Bland-Tug
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 58¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
446 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 10¢ | $3.2K | — | −$3.2K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
231 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 60¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | — |
| Steel-Bull
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 38¢ | $2.3K | — | +$3.8K |
| Generous-Anticodon
118 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 47¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Writhing-Round
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 43¢ | $2.2K | — | +$2.9K |
| Flaky-Integer
337 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 68¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Terrible-Isolation-Birdhouse
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 43¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.7K |
| Boring-Constellation
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 85¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,129 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Team Falcons @ 61¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Spotless-Girlfriend
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Team Falcons @ 58¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Purple-Medal-Prosecution
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Falcons @ 61¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Colossal-Rake-Environment
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Falcons @ 59¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Spotless-Measles
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Falcons @ 55¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Sour-Assertion
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Aurora Gaming @ 57¢ | $1.2K | — | +$905 |
| 0x7ee9…20a2
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Team Falcons @ 61¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Team Falcons lost$74K73% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $2.6K sold
-
Aurora Gaming won$25K24% of whale buying · 7 buyers
-
Team Falcons lost$3.2K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-18? | $129K | 5 | Won: Yes | |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | $52K | 5 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $165K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18? | $52K | 7 | Won: Yes | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.54M | 122 | Open | |
| Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5 | $52K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $57K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $66K | 15 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?