Polymarket market · Other

Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee

Resolved: Middle Tennessee won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $79K on this market since Oct 13, 72% of their buying on Middle Tennessee. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 89 seconds later would have cost 2.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Middle Tennessee won, with 72% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$39K and 5 lost −$14K: +$26K between them. Biggest win: Wordy-Littleneck, +$22K on Middle Tennessee. Biggest loss: Grown-Difference-Burnout, −$4.8K on Delaware.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wordy-Littleneck
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Middle Tennessee @ 52¢ $25K — +$22K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
161 settled bets Beat the odds*
Delaware @ 50¢ $21K — −$4.8K
Polite-Age
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Middle Tennessee @ 91¢ $8.8K — +$867
Glaring-Salt
1,683 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Middle Tennessee @ 49¢ $7.4K — +$7.7K
Grand-Barometer
4 settled bets Too few bets
Delaware @ 56¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Sparse-Outset
350 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Delaware @ 52¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Powerless-Savannah
2,518 settled bets Beat the odds*
Middle Tennessee @ 49¢ $2.4K — +$2.5K
Minty-Relation
1 settled bets Too few bets
Middle Tennessee @ 48¢ $2.0K — +$2.1K
Sardonic-Hub
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Delaware @ 40¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Smart-Elbow
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Middle Tennessee @ 53¢ $1.8K — +$1.6K
Imaginary-Gallery
267 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Middle Tennessee @ 57¢ $1.5K — +$1.2K
Scary-Fannypack
145 settled bets Beat the odds*
Delaware @ 39¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Noisy-Word
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Middle Tennessee @ 53¢ $1.1K — +$940

Where the whale money went

  1. Middle Tennessee won
    $57K
    72% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  2. Delaware lost
    $22K
    28% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791961222).

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed