Polymarket market · Sports
Bears vs. Falcons
Resolved: Bears won · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $61K on this market since Oct 16, 91% of their buying on Bears. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Bears won, with 91% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$42K and 1 lost −$5.7K: +$36K between them. Biggest win: Grotesque-Answer, +$31K on Bears. Biggest loss: Dimpled-Cough, −$5.7K on Falcons.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grotesque-Answer
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 51¢ | $33K | — | +$31K |
| Near-Archer-Godfather
21 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Bears @ 52¢ | $8.3K | — | +$7.7K |
| Dimpled-Cough
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Falcons @ 50¢ | $5.7K | — | −$5.7K |
| Spiffy-Revenue
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 82¢ | $5.3K | — | +$1.2K |
| Generous-Nightlight-Auto
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 86¢ | $3.9K | — | +$627 |
| 0x9b11…5375
196 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 94¢ | $2.6K | — | +$163 |
| Ignorant-Front
66 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Bears @ 91¢ | $2.1K | — | +$210 |
| Fake-Bitter
1,247 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 51¢ | $1.1K | — | +$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Bears won$56K91% of whale buying · 7 buyers
-
Falcons lost$5.7K9% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | $95K | 5 | Won: Steelers | |
| Titans vs. Colts | $90K | 13 | Won: Titans | |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | $60K | 13 | Won: Panthers | |
| Saints vs. Giants | $171K | 8 | Won: Saints | |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | $333K | 13 | Won: Steelers | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | $172K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | $254K | 12 | Won: Texans | |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | $238K | 26 | Won: Cardinals |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?