Polymarket market · Sports
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
70 whales traded $4.94M on this market since Oct 13, 91% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 91% of the whale buying on it. Of the 46 whales whose whole position we captured, 35 made +$132K and 11 lost −$141K: −$9.2K between them. Biggest win: Well-Worn-Framework-Inlay, +$24K on Yes. Biggest loss: Unhappy-Collar, −$49K on No.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 70| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthwhile-Cenotaph-Headphones
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 51¢ | $1.34M | $3.22M | — |
| Unhappy-Collar
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 49¢ | $49K | — | −$49K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,886 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 62¢ | $38K | — | −$38K |
| Well-Worn-Framework-Inlay
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 50¢ | $24K | — | +$24K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,059 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $24K | — | −$20K |
| Corny-Mincemeat
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $23K | — |
| Sparse-Outset
382 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 87¢ | $16K | — | +$2.5K |
| Enraged-Due
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $12K | — | +$12K |
| Scary-Edible
1,440 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 94¢ | $9.9K | — | −$9.9K |
| Illiterate-Counterforce
292 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $9.9K | — | −$9.9K |
| Kosher-Refuse
342 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $9.8K | — | +$9.4K |
| Quarterly-Stepbrother-Timeline
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $8.2K | — |
| Guilty-Relief
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 50¢ | $7.0K | — | +$7.0K |
| Showy-Downgrade
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 34¢ | $7.0K | — | +$14K |
| Quarrelsome-Slot
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 52¢ | $7.0K | — | −$7.0K |
| Sardonic-Hub
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.5K | — |
| Thorny-Snowboarding
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 49¢ | $5.4K | — | +$5.6K |
| Acceptable-Weather
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 50¢ | $5.4K | — | +$5.4K |
| Lazy-Calculator-Executive
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.2K | — |
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $5.1K | — | +$4.9K |
| Fake-Suet
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $5.0K | — | +$4.8K |
| Impassioned-Praise-Severity
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.9K | — |
| Monstrous-Dew
406 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 49¢ | $4.8K | — | +$5.0K |
| Intrepid-Gingerbread-Hexagon
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 52¢ | $4.8K | — | +$4.4K |
| Stable-Buck-Expectation
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.3K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$1.50M91% of whale buying · 38 buyers · $3.30M sold
-
No lost$143K9% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $5.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792134019).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | $89K | 19 | Won: No | |
| Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) | $59K | 3 | Won: Real Madrid CF | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | $157K | 28 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | $166K | 34 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | $615K | 37 | Won: No | |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | $73K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | $86K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | $59K | 3 | Won: Over |