Polymarket market · Other
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
24 whales traded $151K on this market since Oct 17, 60% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 40% of the whale buying on it. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$23K and 8 lost −$64K: −$41K between them. Biggest win: Fake-Suet, +$6.8K on Yes. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$20K on No.
The whales on this market
24 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 62¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Fortunate-Plagiarism
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 42¢ | $5.3K | $13K | — |
| Lovely-Orchard-Stool
103 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 64¢ | $18K | — | −$18K |
| Few-Bladder-Paradise
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 33¢ | $4.0K | $12K | — |
| Idolized-Acquaintance
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $9.9K | — | −$9.9K |
| 0x0f34…7684
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 38¢ | $1.4K | $8.0K | — |
| Grateful-Chest
265 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 57¢ | $9.1K | — | −$9.1K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,174 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $7.4K | — | +$762 |
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 45¢ | $4.6K | — | +$5.6K |
| Fake-Suet
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 37¢ | $4.0K | — | +$6.8K |
| Kosher-Refuse
358 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 68¢ | $3.9K | — | +$1.8K |
| Aggravating-Society
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 70¢ | $3.9K | — | +$1.7K |
| Monumental-Circumstance
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 67¢ | $2.1K | $1.3K | −$830 |
| Joyful-Ellipse
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 90¢ | $3.2K | — | +$372 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,161 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 55¢ | $3.1K | — | +$549 |
| Joyful-Catastrophe
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Imaginary-Gallery
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 68¢ | $2.6K | — | −$2.6K |
| Quick-Witted-Touch-Die
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Dear-Blackboard
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 43¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.6K |
| 0xad69…92fd
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Beautiful-Frosting
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 58¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,118 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.4K | — | +$139 |
| Foolish-Caboose
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 68¢ | $1.4K | — | +$641 |
| Well-Made-Birch-Allergist
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 37¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1.7K |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$67K60% of whale buying · 9 buyers
-
Yes won$44K40% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $40K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | $51K | 7 | Won: Team Falcons | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17? | $65K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army | $145K | 5 | Won: Army | |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17? | $166K | 16 | Won: Yes | |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | $56K | 6 | Won: Over | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $443K | 52 | Open | |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | $106K | 17 | Open | |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5 | $62K | 3 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?