Polymarket market · Sports

Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari

Resolved: Maja Chwalinska won · See it on Polymarket ↗

33 whales traded $174K on this market since Oct 15, 50% of their buying on Maja Chwalinska. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 86% of the size there to buy. Maja Chwalinska won, with 50% of the whale buying on it. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$7.9K and 12 lost −$46K: −$39K between them. Biggest win: Powerless-Savannah, +$2.4K on Maja Chwalinska. Biggest loss: Sparse-Handgun, −$20K on Maria Sakkari.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 33
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Quixotic-Brow
164 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 47¢ $8.2K $24K —
Sparse-Handgun
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Sakkari @ 42¢ $20K — −$20K
Quirky-Woodchuck-Overload
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 72¢ $14K $5.8K —
Naughty-Tab
106 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 58¢ $2.2K $13K —
Grateful-Chest
262 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 48¢ $7.3K $5.3K −$256
Steep-Tummy
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 70¢ $2.0K $6.3K —
Scary-Edible
1,454 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Sakkari @ 37¢ $7.6K — −$7.6K
Each-Cenotaph
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.0K —
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.8K —
Gleeful-Molecule
1 settled bets Too few bets
Maja Chwalinska @ 82¢ $5.1K — +$1.1K
Whimsical-Cliff
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Sakkari @ 56¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Slow-Escape
352 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Sakkari @ 28¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Spotless-Girlfriend
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Sakkari @ 55¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Powerless-Savannah
2,597 settled bets Beat the odds*
Maja Chwalinska @ 49¢ $2.3K — +$2.4K
Celebrated-Executor
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 98¢ $2.2K — +$46
Treasured-Notoriety-Romance
31 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Curly-Soap
5 settled bets Too few bets
Maja Chwalinska @ 58¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K
Everlasting-Octagon
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Pointless-Illustration
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 80¢ $1.8K — +$438
Bite-Sized-Strawberry
6 settled bets Too few bets
Maria Sakkari @ 52¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Loving-Atheist
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maja Chwalinska @ 70¢ $1.5K — +$643
Foolish-Complexity-Columnist
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Sakkari @ 36¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Firsthand-Ticket-Nothing
6 settled bets Too few bets
Maria Sakkari @ 53¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Inconsequential-Archeology
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Sakkari @ 32¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Metallic-Palm-Scanner
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Maja Chwalinska won
    $48K
    50% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $69K sold
  2. Maria Sakkari lost
    $46K
    48% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $8.8K sold
  3. Maja Chwalinska lost
    $2.5K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792220425).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud $153K 37 Won: Rafael Jodar
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul $243K 28 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek $80K 15 Won: Iga Swiatek
Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal $327K 44 Won: Sonay Kartal
Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki $55K 10 Won: Shintaro Mochizuki
Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko $118K 17 Won: Jelena Ostapenko
Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro $80K 15 Won: Francesco Passaro
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) $108K 8 Won: Broncos
About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed