Polymarket market · Other
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-17?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
5 whales traded $85K on this market since Oct 17, 98% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 98% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$81K and 1 lost −$1.2K: +$79K between them. Biggest win: Sparse-Rotation, +$32K on Yes. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$1.2K on No.
The whales on this market
5 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Lecture
16 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 34¢ | $13K | $31K | +$26K |
| Sparse-Rotation
16 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 42¢ | $24K | — | +$32K |
| Deficient-Morale
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 40¢ | $9.5K | — | +$14K |
| Black-Latter
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 43¢ | $6.6K | — | +$8.8K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,310 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 69¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$53K98% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $31K sold
-
No lost$1.2K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792306820).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $251K | 41 | Open | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $196K | 61 | Open | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $113K | 32 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $380K | 55 | Open | |
| Wisconsin vs. UCLA | $64K | 11 | Won: UCLA | |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee | $67K | 14 | Won: Tennessee | |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | $76K | 12 | Won: Miami (FL) | |
| Kent State vs. South Florida | $71K | 4 | Won: South Florida |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?