Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Resolved: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $53K on this market since Oct 13, 84% of their buying on Hubert Hurkacz. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 81 seconds later would have cost 1.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won, with 12% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$5.8K and 7 lost −$31K: −$25K between them. Biggest win: Stormy-Influence, +$4.3K on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Biggest loss: Plump-Advancement, −$15K on Hubert Hurkacz.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Plump-Advancement
19 settled bets Worse than the odds
Hubert Hurkacz @ 59¢ $15K — −$15K
Pointed-Dose-Formamide
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.7K —
Wrathful-Row
154 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.3K —
Substantial-Service
802 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hubert Hurkacz @ 63¢ $6.1K — −$6.1K
Naughty-Tab
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 40¢ $1.4K $3.5K —
Lovely-Iridescence
10 settled bets Too few bets
Hubert Hurkacz @ 59¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Excellent-Figure
9 settled bets Too few bets
Hubert Hurkacz @ 71¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Mealy-Grasp-Idiom
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 58¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Stormy-Influence
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 29¢ $1.8K — +$4.3K
Well-To-Do-Invention
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Dense-Philosopher-Loincloth
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 72¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Good-Natured-Announcement
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 72¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,883 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 41¢ $1.0K — +$1.5K

Where the whale money went

  1. Hubert Hurkacz lost
    $29K
    84% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $9.7K sold
  2. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won
    $4.2K
    12% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $8.1K sold
  3. Hubert Hurkacz lost
    $1.5K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791961222).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik $101K 13 Won: Alexander Zverev
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? $59K 3 Won: Yes
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? $88K 24 Won: Yes
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? $51K 13 Won: No
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) $64K 5 Won: FC Barcelona
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? $92K 12 Won: Yes
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $81K 10 Won: Tampa Bay Rays
Bills vs. Rams $845K 60 Won: Bills
About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed