Sudden-Compensation

0x9ee49c02ae1ade698bf9e06d4ca271f236b8697b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Sudden-Compensation: −$164K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$164K
return −39.8%
Settled bets
4
$412K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$164K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $211K
bought Falcons @ 91¢ → lost (−$211K)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY Falcons @ 91¢
Ravens vs. Falcons
Ravens vs. Falcons $211K
Oct 11 BUY Vikings @ 79¢
Vikings vs. Saints
Vikings vs. Saints $119K
Oct 7 BUY Yes @ 49¢
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? $37K
Oct 2 BUY Browns @ 88¢
Steelers vs. Browns
Steelers vs. Browns $67K
Sep 27 BUY Oregon @ 70¢
Oregon vs. USC
Oregon vs. USC $15K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed