Polymarket market · Sports
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Resolved: Tampa Bay Rays won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $174K on this market since Oct 16, 53% of their buying on Tampa Bay Rays. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Tampa Bay Rays won, with 53% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$27K and 6 lost −$66K: −$39K between them. Biggest win: Trivial-Ravioli, +$9.0K on Tampa Bay Rays. Biggest loss: Kosher-Refuse, −$37K on Cleveland Guardians.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trivial-Ravioli
282 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 84¢ | $47K | — | +$9.0K |
| Kosher-Refuse
363 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cleveland Guardians @ 46¢ | $44K | — | −$37K |
| Tragic-Chin-Clone
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Cleveland Guardians @ 35¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,247 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 41¢ | $12K | — | +$9.0K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
220 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 81¢ | $10K | — | +$2.3K |
| Broken-Retouching
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cleveland Guardians @ 47¢ | $5.9K | $3.5K | — |
| Substantial-Service
873 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 88¢ | $8.4K | — | +$1.1K |
| Negligible-Somersault
139 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Cleveland Guardians @ 20¢ | $8.2K | — | −$8.2K |
| 0x9b11…5375
196 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 79¢ | $6.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Snappy-Basketball
322 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 54¢ | $5.7K | — | +$4.9K |
| Shrill-Aunt
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cleveland Guardians @ 42¢ | $4.5K | — | −$4.5K |
| Wonderful-Patio
68 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Normal-Midden
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Tampa Bay Rays @ 59¢ | $1.2K | — | +$820 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,410 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cleveland Guardians @ 48¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Tampa Bay Rays won$88K53% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $3.5K sold
-
Cleveland Guardians lost$73K44% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $2.8K sold
-
Tampa Bay Rays lost$6.2K4% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16 to Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers vs. Chiefs | $74K | 13 | Won: Chiefs | |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) | $222K | 4 | Won: Raiders | |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | $67K | 4 | Won: Raiders | |
| Bills vs. Raiders | $398K | 24 | Won: Bills | |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | $238K | 26 | Won: Cardinals | |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | $333K | 13 | Won: Steelers | |
| Saints vs. Giants | $171K | 8 | Won: Saints | |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | $60K | 13 | Won: Panthers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?