Polymarket market · Other
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
3 whales traded $54K on this market since Oct 18, 83% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 17% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$478 and 1 lost −$44K: −$44K between them. Biggest win: Severe-Variability, +$298 on No. Biggest loss: Sneaky-Nod-Agony, −$44K on Yes.
The whales on this market
3 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sneaky-Nod-Agony
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 14¢ | $44K | — | −$44K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,260 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $7.4K | — | +$180 |
| Severe-Variability
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 86¢ | $1.8K | — | +$298 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$44K83% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
No won$9.3K17% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | $58K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | $51K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $649K | 78 | Open | |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | $75K | 16 | Won: Yes | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $80K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $83K | 30 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | $155K | 36 | Won: FURIA | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $201K | 62 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?