Polymarket market · Sports

Bills vs. Rams

Resolved: Bills won · See it on Polymarket ↗

60 whales traded $845K on this market since Oct 12, 80% of their buying on Bills. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.3¢ less per share, with 88% of the size there to buy. Bills won, with 80% of the whale buying on it. Of the 46 whales whose whole position we captured, 25 made +$478K and 20 lost −$84K: +$394K between them. Biggest win: Homely-Gosling, +$277K on Bills. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$19K on Rams.

In the live feed

$695K from 18 whales, last 24h
SELL $7.4K
sold Bills @ 99.9¢ → won
Broken-Retouching · 4 settled bets · +$499 Too few bets
BUY $7.1K
bought Bills @ 71¢ → won (+$2.9K)
Unacceptable-Barn · 105 settled bets · +$106K Beat the odds*
BUY $5.9K
bought Rams @ 92¢ → lost (−$5.9K)
Trivial-Ravioli · 261 settled bets · −$87K Worse than the odds
BUY $10K
bought Bills @ 77¢ → won (+$3.0K)
Well-Worn-Framework-Inlay · 22 settled bets · −$14K Can't tell from luck
BUY $133K
bought Bills @ 68¢ → won (+$63K)
Sudden-Compensation · 5 settled bets · −$101K Too few bets
BUY $5.9K
bought Rams @ 32¢ → lost (−$5.9K)
Grown-Difference-Burnout · 152 settled bets · +$37K Beat the odds*
SELL $21K
sold Rams @ 39¢ → lost
Wonderful-Patio · 62 settled bets · +$120K Can't tell from luck
BUY $10K
bought Rams @ 57¢ → lost (−$10K)
Corny-Tenth · 2 settled bets · −$8.1K Too few bets
BUY $8.6K
bought Bills @ 54¢ → won (+$7.3K)
Grown-Difference-Burnout · 152 settled bets · +$37K Beat the odds*
BUY $11K
bought Rams @ 64¢ → lost (−$11K)
Thorny-Movie · 29 settled bets · +$677 Can't tell from luck
SELL $11K
sold Bills @ 42¢ → won
0x9b11…5375 · 150 settled bets · −$32K Can't tell from luck
BUY $13K
bought Bills @ 54¢ → won (+$11K)
Grown-Difference-Burnout · 152 settled bets · +$37K Beat the odds*
BUY $19K
bought Rams @ 47¢ → lost (−$19K)
Glaring-Salt · 1,666 settled bets · −$681K Can't tell from luck
BUY $20K
bought Rams @ 47¢ → lost (−$20K)
Substantial-Service · 792 settled bets · −$874K Beat the odds*
BUY $5.1K
bought Bills @ 52¢ → won (+$4.7K)
Noisy-Dearest · 69 settled bets · +$34K Can't tell from luck
BUY $9.8K
bought Rams @ 49¢ → lost (−$9.8K)
True-Grandparent · 27 settled bets · +$149K Can't tell from luck
BUY $11K
bought Bills @ 55¢ → won (+$9.0K)
Corrupt-Poisoning · 312 settled bets · +$198K Beat the odds*
BUY $5.9K
bought Rams @ 52¢ → lost (−$5.9K)
Grown-Difference-Burnout · 152 settled bets · +$37K Beat the odds*
BUY $232K
bought Bills @ 49¢ → won (+$242K)
Homely-Gosling · 12 settled bets · +$257K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 60
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Homely-Gosling
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 48¢ $257K — +$277K
Sudden-Compensation
5 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 68¢ $133K — +$63K
Wonderful-Patio
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 40¢ $22K $43K —
Grown-Difference-Burnout
152 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 47¢ $63K — +$22K
Substantial-Service
792 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 39¢ $47K — +$22K
Heavenly-Numismatist
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $31K —
0x9b11…5375
150 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 46¢ $9.8K $11K —
Glaring-Salt
1,666 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rams @ 47¢ $19K — −$19K
True-Grandparent
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rams @ 49¢ $15K — +$35K
Thorny-Movie
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rams @ 64¢ $11K — −$11K
Corrupt-Poisoning
312 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 55¢ $11K — +$9.0K
Well-Worn-Framework-Inlay
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 77¢ $10K — +$3.0K
Corny-Tenth
2 settled bets Too few bets
Rams @ 57¢ $10K — −$10K
Medical-Fund
2 settled bets Too few bets
Rams @ 62¢ $9.3K — −$9.3K
Irresponsible-Autumn
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 49¢ $8.3K — +$4.6K
Broken-Retouching
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $7.4K —
Well-Made-Sovereignty
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 63¢ $3.2K $3.9K —
Unacceptable-Barn
105 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 71¢ $7.1K — +$2.9K
Noisy-Dearest
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 55¢ $6.5K — +$5.4K
Scary-Fannypack
143 settled bets Beat the odds*
Bills @ 44¢ $6.2K — +$5.8K
Trivial-Ravioli
261 settled bets Worse than the odds
Rams @ 92¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Homely-Guilty
10 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 69¢ $2.9K $2.9K $0
Bruised-Downfall
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rams @ 46¢ $3.4K $1.9K −$1.2K
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
131 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rams @ 47¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
0x874b…48e0
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 44¢ $2.8K $2.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Bills won
    $577K
    80% of whale buying · 34 buyers · $52K sold
  2. Rams lost
    $148K
    20% of whale buying · 27 buyers · $69K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 12 to Oct 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791874803).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 54.5 $53K 8 Won: Over
Spread: Rams (-4.5) $52K 3 Won: Bills
Spread: Rams (-3.5) $255K 9 Won: Bills
Spread: Rams (-2.5) $55K 9 Won: Bills
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $65K 16 Won: Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers $189K 22 Won: Milwaukee Brewers
Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 $55K 4 Won: Over
Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5 $132K 5 Won: Under
About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed