Polymarket · weekly receipts

Week of Nov 2 – 8, 2026

Updated , from run 1793602824

In the week of Nov 2 – 8, 2026, whales have finished betting on 75 Polymarket markets ($26.6M of whale money); 15 have settled. The 296 whale positions we can score on them made −$286K between them: 184 came out ahead, 112 behind.

Biggest win: Velvety-Zoologist-Tale, +$97K on Broncos (“Chiefs vs. Broncos”). Biggest loss: Dual-Criticism, −$76K on Over (“Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5”).

One good week is one result, not a skill: check each wallet's settled record and luck-vs-skill verdict before reading anything into it. What happened when we copied the best whales.

Biggest wins

one whale on one market
Whale · verdictMarketBackedMade on it
Velvety-Zoologist-Tale
Can't tell from luck
Chiefs vs. Broncos Broncos +$97K
Substantial-Service
Beat the odds*
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 Under +$43K
Belated-Realm
Can't tell from luck
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) Commanders +$41K
Half-Mime
Can't tell from luck
Spread: Commanders (-5.5) Commanders +$29K
Creative-Midwife
Can't tell from luck
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B Liquid +$26K
Infatuated-Deficit
Can't tell from luck
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B Liquid +$23K
Creative-Midwife
Can't tell from luck
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A TheMongolz +$19K
Rosy-Trinket
Can't tell from luck
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A TheMongolz +$19K
Glaring-Salt
Can't tell from luck
Patriots vs. Dolphins Patriots +$18K
Substantial-Service
Beat the odds*
Chiefs vs. Broncos Broncos +$17K

Biggest losses

one whale on one market
Whale · verdictMarketBackedMade on it
Dual-Criticism
Can't tell from luck
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 Over −$76K
Functional-Knee-Beck
Can't tell from luck
Eagles vs. Commanders Eagles −$52K
Glaring-Salt
Can't tell from luck
Eagles vs. Commanders Eagles −$52K
Ashamed-Enemy-Strap
Too few bets
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) Eagles −$45K
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
Can't tell from luck
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 Over −$45K
Esteemed-Cloves
Can't tell from luck
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) Eagles −$44K
Flaky-Campaign
Can't tell from luck
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 Over −$42K
0xe015…6ffd
Can't tell from luck
Patriots vs. Dolphins Dolphins −$32K
Rosy-Trinket
Can't tell from luck
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B Aurora Gaming −$28K
Shoddy-Harmonise
Can't tell from luck
Eagles vs. Commanders Eagles −$27K

The week's whale markets

75 · 60 still open
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? $144K 27 Open
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova $112K 11 Open
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $3.00M 336 Open
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? $235K 8 Open
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? $705K 110 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? $53K 15 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $948K 121 Open
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter $52K 7 Open
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House $1.50M 88 Open
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B $127K 18 Open
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House $116K 10 Open
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? $65K 16 Open
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) $78K 5 Open
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $475K 98 Open
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B $113K 22 Won: Liquid
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? $308K 54 Open
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $2.48M 175 Open
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? $90K 23 Open
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? $771K 78 Open
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? $106K 12 Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $2.78M 141 Open
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? $694K 25 Open
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? $552K 82 Open
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? $101K 22 Open
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? $98K 15 Open
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? $165K 19 Open
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House $1.07M 105 Open
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? $50K 10 Open
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A $175K 37 Won: TheMongolz
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? $83K 26 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? $171K 23 Open
Raptors vs. Lakers $212K 31 Won: Lakers
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? $72K 19 Open
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A $93K 6 Open
Eagles vs. Commanders $529K 52 Won: Commanders
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? $208K 23 Open
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? $173K 23 Open
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? $669K 66 Open
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 $134K 10 Won: Under
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? $83K 16 Open
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? $504K 86 Open
Clippers vs. Warriors $183K 39 Won: Warriors
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) $239K 14 Won: Commanders
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House $470K 45 Open
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? $345K 71 Open
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? $52K 11 Open
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? $121K 14 Open
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? $91K 12 Open
Spread: Commanders (-5.5) $103K 11 Won: Commanders
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? $105K 18 Open
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A $71K 10 Won: Heroic
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? $228K 17 Open
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? $185K 27 Open
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $1.47M 64 Open
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? $57K 12 Open
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? $52K 17 Open
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? $198K 37 Open
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? $110K 20 Open
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? $184K 19 Open
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? $78K 23 Open
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $278K 37 Won: Yes
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? $85K 25 Won: No
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? $64K 14 Open
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? $132K 14 Open
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? $112K 33 Open
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? $160K 20 Open
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? $57K 3 Open
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? $169K 26 Open
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 $131K 3 Won: Under
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? $78K 24 Open
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? $55K 16 Open
Nets vs. Pacers $69K 19 Won: Nets
Chiefs vs. Broncos $369K 38 Won: Broncos
Patriots vs. Dolphins $228K 21 Won: Patriots
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? $146K 12 Open

A market belongs to the week of its last whale bet. "Made on it" counts only the whale trades we captured, marked at the result; whales whose position we only saw part of are left out. It updates daily until the week's markets have all settled. How profit is counted.