Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Commanders (-6.5)

Resolved: Commanders won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales traded $239K on this market since Nov 1, 76% of their buying on Eagles. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Commanders won, with 24% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$45K and 11 lost −$165K: −$120K between them. Biggest win: Belated-Realm, +$41K on Commanders. Biggest loss: Ashamed-Enemy-Strap, −$45K on Eagles.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Belated-Realm
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Commanders @ 47¢ $49K — +$41K
Ashamed-Enemy-Strap
1 settled bets Too few bets
Eagles @ 54¢ $45K — −$45K
Esteemed-Cloves
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eagles @ 52¢ $44K — −$44K
Same-Kidney
129 settled bets Beat the odds*
Eagles @ 54¢ $22K — −$22K
Sardonic-Hub
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eagles @ 54¢ $22K — −$22K
Indelible-Try
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Commanders @ 42¢ $6.8K $8.1K +$3.3K
Heavenly-Numismatist
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eagles @ 60¢ $9.9K $4.0K −$5.9K
Glaring-Salt
2,353 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eagles @ 54¢ $11K — −$11K
Powerless-Savannah
3,258 settled bets Beat the odds*
Eagles @ 54¢ $6.8K — −$6.8K
Fake-Bitter
1,746 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eagles @ 54¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Scaly-Duel
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eagles @ 54¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Extraneous-Incubation
5 settled bets Too few bets
Eagles @ 53¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Agitated-Bricklaying
607 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eagles @ 54¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Near-Archer-Godfather
83 settled bets Beat the odds*
Commanders @ 47¢ $1.0K — +$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Eagles lost
    $172K
    76% of whale buying · 12 buyers
  2. Commanders won
    $55K
    24% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $12K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Eagles vs. Commanders $529K 52 Won: Commanders
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 $134K 10 Won: Under
Spread: Commanders (-5.5) $103K 11 Won: Commanders
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 $131K 3 Won: Under
Clippers vs. Warriors $183K 39 Won: Warriors
Raptors vs. Lakers $212K 31 Won: Lakers
Nets vs. Pacers $69K 19 Won: Nets
Chiefs vs. Broncos $369K 38 Won: Broncos
About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed