Polymarket market · Other
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $57K on this market since Aug 25, 78% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 6.0¢ more per share, with 75% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2831…d641
no settled record |
No @ 62¢ | $7.0K | $6.8K |
| Spanish-Sustainment
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $3.0K | $5.7K |
| 0x5a63…9203
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $6.7K |
| Obedient-Neonate
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.4K |
| 0xfe1e…52fb
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $5.1K |
| Wordy-Duel
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 83¢ | $2.5K | $1.8K |
| 0x4ba6…e055
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $4.0K |
| 0xb44f…20d6
no settled record |
No @ 62¢ | $2.9K | — |
| 0xff91…a1ed
no settled record |
Yes @ 28¢ | $2.6K | — |
| Second-Hand-Follower
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x4135…e462
no settled record |
Yes @ 35¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Measly-Sleep
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 36¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$17K78% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $26K sold
-
Yes$4.7K22% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $9.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 25 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $185K | 27 | Won: No | |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | $71K | 10 | Won: Heroic | |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | $175K | 37 | Won: TheMongolz | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | $50K | 10 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | $113K | 22 | Won: Liquid | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $476K | 77 | Open | |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | $86K | 7 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | $107K | 15 | Open |