Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
20 whales traded $58K on this market since Aug 22, 72% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
20 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe6ca…b27a
no settled record |
Yes @ 49¢ | $11K | — |
| Dull-Battery-Sole
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 39¢ | $7.2K | — |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $3.8K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,136 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 50¢ | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| Breakable-Whistle-Platypus
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K |
| 0xdf0e…c02b
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $3.4K |
| Flowery-Min
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 50¢ | $3.0K | — |
| Feminine-Log
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 53¢ | $2.9K | — |
| 0xcf81…9106
no settled record |
Yes @ 47¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 0xe7f9…4b09
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K |
| Neat-Harbour
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 47¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Remarkable-Underpass
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 53¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Flamboyant-Disability
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K |
| Dearest-Agenda
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 51¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0xe7b1…9643
no settled record |
Yes @ 51¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0x6566…44dd
no settled record |
No @ 53¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x2c77…b9a8
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| 0x8765…ed81
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| Light-Hygienic
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 51¢ | $1.0K | — |
| 0x4a86…2220
no settled record |
Yes @ 50¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$27K72% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $17K sold
-
No$11K29% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.6K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.30M | 105 | Open | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $157K | 37 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $72K | 14 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | $270K | 33 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $287K | 49 | Open | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $83K | 19 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $70K | 12 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $235K | 48 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?