Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $74K on this market since Oct 30, 54% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portly-Tapioca
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 88¢ | $23K | — |
| Wobbly-Pants
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $23K |
| Red-Mug-Neuropsychiatry
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 14¢ | $14K | — |
| Shocked-Counseling
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 14¢ | $4.2K | — |
| Attached-Pump
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K |
| Indelible-Dhow
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 14¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Fearless-Misnomer
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Married-Uniformity
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| Ragged-Thongs
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 12¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Advanced-Mailer
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| Rare-Azimuth
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 87¢ | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$24K54% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $3.5K sold
-
Yes$21K46% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $25K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $95K | 21 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $247K | 42 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | $144K | 19 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.43M | 57 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $2.23M | 157 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $951K | 97 | Open | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $106K | 31 | Open | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | $214K | 13 | Open |