Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
3 whales traded $68K on this market since Nov 1, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
3 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Bid
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $51K | — |
| Crowded-Distance
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $7.9K | $8.0K |
| Lean-Pantyhose
12 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 96¢ | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$60K100% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $8.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | $114K | 13 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.48M | 67 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $345K | 58 | Open | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $142K | 35 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | $225K | 32 | Open | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $87K | 22 | Open | |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | $146K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | $95K | 12 | Open |