Polymarket market · Politics & macro

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

35 whales put $328K into this market since Aug 20, 81% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 35
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0xf96d…214b
no settled record
Yes @ 8¢ $43K —
Mild-Contingency
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $37K —
0x15fd…cc95
no settled record
No @ 92¢ $33K —
0xb5d1…6e35
no settled record
No @ 88¢ $26K —
Carefree-Activist
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $14K $7.8K
0x3eba…849a
no settled record
No @ 93¢ $20K —
Few-Poppy
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 92¢ $20K —
0xee31…4735
no settled record
No @ 93¢ $17K —
Powerful-Election
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $16K —
Lively-Provider
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $14K
Imaginative-River
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 93¢ $10K —
Fearless-Misnomer
34 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $9.1K
Fatherly-Stamen
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $8.9K —
Rundown-Regard
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 92¢ $5.5K —
Harsh-Macro
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 93¢ $4.7K —
New-Craw
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $4.7K —
0x06ab…ee5c
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.8K
Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 91¢ $3.4K —
Downright-Website
13 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 88¢ $3.3K —
Soggy-Comestible
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 9¢ $3.1K —
0xb664…8669
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.8K
0xe72e…282d
no settled record
No @ 88¢ $2.6K —
0xdd08…5ee9
no settled record
No @ 91¢ $1.9K —
Robust-Exhaust
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $1.8K —
Lively-Stirfry
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.8K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $233K
    81% of whale buying · 20 buyers · $25K sold
  2. Yes
    $53K
    19% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $16K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed