Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $62K on this market since Oct 2, 94% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 89% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sour-Assertion
15 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 75¢ | $30K | — |
| Similar-Balloonist
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $15K |
| 0x4488…e319
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 73¢ | $5.2K | — |
| 0xcfca…8b3a
no settled record |
No @ 16¢ | $1.5K | $1.1K |
| Careful-Bunch
149 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 88¢ | $1.8K | — |
| 0x76f9…f701
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Able-Altitude
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| Decimal-Artery
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| 0x919d…60e1
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 73¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0xcf40…004c
no settled record |
No @ 15¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0x6c10…df5c
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 82¢ | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$39K94% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $19K sold
-
No$2.6K6% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 2 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | $78K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $127K | 30 | Open | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $99K | 23 | Open | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | $268K | 37 | Open | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $85K | 25 | Open | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | $90K | 27 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | $187K | 29 | Open | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $1.49M | 155 | Won: Yes |