0xe015…6ffd
0xe015b5a2a299167be835a2fd1e86f09c49e06ffd
0xe015…6ffd: −$82K on 103 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 42%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$82K
return −11.8%
Settled bets
103
$701K staked
Won
51.5%
95% range 42%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 103 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$17K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$52K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$13K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 63¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 45.5 |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 45.5 | $4.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 62¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 | $9.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Cowboys
@ 58¢
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) |
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) | $15K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Cowboys
@ 69¢
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) |
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 73¢
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) |
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | $5.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Cowboys
@ 65¢
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) |
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | $5.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Seahawks
@ 60¢
49ers vs. Seahawks |
49ers vs. Seahawks | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? | $69K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.