Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
18 whales traded $62K on this market since Aug 24, 51% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
18 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Periodic-Outrigger
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 38¢ | $10K | — |
| Each-Jeans
12 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 56¢ | $3.8K | $3.2K |
| 0x1c72…dfb6
no settled record |
No @ 59¢ | $6.6K | — |
| 0x64c8…73ce
no settled record |
No @ 70¢ | $6.0K | — |
| 0x88d9…35c7
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $4.1K |
| Lively-Provider
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 34¢ | $3.5K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,564 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 37¢ | $3.4K | — |
| Crazy-Fishmonger
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 31¢ | $3.2K | — |
| Same-Kidney
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 68¢ | $3.0K | — |
| Adorable-Roll
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 41¢ | $3.0K | — |
| 0xdb97…eee8
no settled record |
No @ 70¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K |
| 0x0c93…a00b
no settled record |
Yes @ 30¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Probable-Semicircle
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 37¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0x0f79…c23e
no settled record |
Yes @ 41¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Advanced-Mailer
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
129 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 59¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x8376…3d2b
no settled record |
No @ 70¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0x8257…de33
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$27K51% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.1K sold
-
No$24K46% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $8.6K sold
-
Yes$2.0K4% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 24 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $284K | 48 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | $291K | 37 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $246K | 52 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | $60K | 14 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $641K | 64 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $339K | 57 | Open | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $1.07M | 133 | Open | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $152K | 14 | Open |