Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
25 whales traded $85K on this market since Oct 5, 62% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.8¢ more per share, with 89% of the size there to buy. No won, with 62% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$5.6K and 8 lost −$15K: −$9.2K between them. Biggest win: Tasty-Gliding-Grasp, +$2.3K on No. Biggest loss: Keen-Advice, −$3.3K on Yes.
The whales on this market
25 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monstrous-Dew
543 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 36¢ | $3.5K | $8.8K | — |
| Each-Jeans
14 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 80¢ | $3.9K | $7.3K | — |
| Tasty-Gliding-Grasp
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 77¢ | $7.7K | — | +$2.3K |
| Careful-Bunch
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $3.2K | $3.1K | +$464 |
| Darling-Overweight-Purse
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 36¢ | $2.2K | $2.8K | — |
| 0x98d0…f14a
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $3.3K | $1.7K | +$348 |
| Remarkable-Underpass
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 84¢ | $3.9K | — | +$737 |
| Keen-Advice
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 15¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Delightful-Spotlight
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 28¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Shameful-Cinnamon
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $2.8K | — | +$85 |
| Digital-Safari-Sorrel
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 17¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Starry-Studio
21 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 87¢ | $2.2K | — | +$333 |
| Leading-Contest
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 74¢ | $2.1K | — | +$725 |
| Athletic-Curiosity
33 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Oval-Hammock
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 19¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Inferior-Plough-Acrylic
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 85¢ | $1.7K | — | +$300 |
| Attached-Pump
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 35¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Gaseous-Fugato
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Sudden-Automaton-Chronicle
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 89¢ | $1.3K | — | +$165 |
| Third-Youth
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 21¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Rubbery-Festival
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 84¢ | $1.1K | — | +$204 |
| Icy-Vicinity
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Kosher-Stance
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 29¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Thrifty-Ease
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 36¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$33K62% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $18K sold
-
Yes lost$21K38% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $13K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 5 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $112K | 33 | Open | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | $278K | 37 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $184K | 19 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | $52K | 17 | Open | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | $228K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | $83K | 16 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | $116K | 10 | Open | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | $84K | 26 | Open |