Polymarket market · Politics & macro

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

35 whales put $320K into this market since Aug 20, 79% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 35
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Lively-Provider
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 36¢ $151K —
0xcfee…ffcd
no settled record
No @ 49¢ $12K $29K
0x10b3…40d4
no settled record
No @ 36¢ $18K —
Complex-Propane
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 37¢ $15K —
0x1b90…c4f8
no settled record
Yes @ 55¢ $4.4K $8.1K
Angry-Evaluation
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.1K
Silky-Geometry
205 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 63¢ $5.9K —
Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 38¢ $5.7K —
Vapid-Validate
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 48¢ $5.5K —
Burdensome-Judgment
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 59¢ $5.3K —
0x2acd…2f49
no settled record
Yes @ 63¢ $4.9K —
Steep-Visa
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 65¢ $4.6K —
Flashy-Bid
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 46¢ $4.2K —
0x394e…b5bf
no settled record
Yes @ 63¢ $4.1K —
Nippy-College
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 37¢ $4.1K —
0x926e…c009
no settled record
No @ 38¢ $3.9K —
Delightful-Curve
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K
Sticky-Raincoat-Formal
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K
Lonely-Jacket
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 54¢ $2.1K —
0x2162…f0b1
no settled record
Yes @ 61¢ $2.0K —
Harsh-Macro
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 35¢ $1.8K —
Punctual-Sand
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K
Poor-Lemon-Lesson
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K
0xc1b7…e00b
no settled record
No @ 37¢ $1.4K —
Neat-Tip
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 50¢ $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $208K
    79% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $18K sold
  2. Yes
    $48K
    18% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $39K sold
  3. Yes
    $6.6K
    3% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed