Polymarket market · Other
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $50K on this market since Oct 5, 97% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 89% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elaborate-Volcano
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 86¢ | $15K | — |
| Showy-Audit
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 83¢ | $9.7K | — |
| Close-Breastplate
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 85¢ | $2.6K | $6.0K |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor
19 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K |
| Authorized-Gazelle
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $3.3K | — |
| 0x4c7f…3afb
no settled record |
Yes @ 28¢ | $1.0K | $2.0K |
| Verifiable-Obstacle
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 72¢ | $2.4K | — |
| Agile-Dwell-Ruby
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 85¢ | $2.1K | — |
| Mortified-Roast
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 82¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$36K97% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $11K sold
-
Yes$1.0K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 5 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | $175K | 37 | Won: TheMongolz | |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | $113K | 22 | Won: Liquid | |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | $71K | 10 | Won: Heroic | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $185K | 27 | Won: No | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | $57K | 12 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $476K | 77 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | $107K | 15 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | $192K | 37 | Won: PARIVISION |